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You are at:Home » Will S&P 500 Open Up Or Down On March 12? Here Is How Polymarket Traders Lean As Oil Rebounds, Private Credit Concerns Mount
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Will S&P 500 Open Up Or Down On March 12? Here Is How Polymarket Traders Lean As Oil Rebounds, Private Credit Concerns Mount

News RoomNews RoomMar 12, 2026 2:21 am EDT0 ViewsNo Comments1 Min Read
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The S&P 500 closed Wednesday’s session down 0.084% at 6,775.80, extending its losses as a historical release of tactical oil reserves stopped working to cool rising unrefined rates.

The Polygon– based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd is leaning substantially bearish heading into Thursday. The March 12 market presently reveals just a 12% possibility of traders banking on an “Up” opening. Early trading volume for the March 12 bet has actually reached $26,319.

Why That Number Matters?

Energy markets continue to determine the story. In spite of the IEA licensing a record 400-million-barrel release of emergency situation reserves, WTI crude leapt 8.45% to $94.62, at the last check, after Iran supposedly struck 3 more freight vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.

While February’s CPI information increased 0.3%– mostly in line with expectations– financiers are looking past it. The 10-year Treasury yield reached 4.23% as the marketplace started pricing in the inflationary effect of the existing energy spike.

The Bull Case

How The Previous Bet Played Out

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