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You are at:Home » Trump Considers Jones Act Waiver By July: What Do Prediction Markets Say?
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Trump Considers Jones Act Waiver By July: What Do Prediction Markets Say?

News RoomNews RoomMar 14, 2026 2:17 am EDT0 ViewsNo Comments2 Mins Read
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The Polymarket agreement, which opened March 9, fixes to “Yes” if any of the century-old law’s 4 core limitations are eliminated through legislation or executive action before the due date.

What Taken Place

The White Home validated Wednesday it is thinking about a momentary Jones Act waiver for energy and farming deliveries.

Bloomberg reported the administration is establishing a 30-day exemption covering oil, fuel, diesel, LNG and fertilizer moving in between U.S. ports.

The administration’s scramble to relieve domestic fuel pressures comes as Brent unrefined briefly topped $110 per barrel with the Strait of Hormuz successfully closed following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran.

Why It Matters

Valero was the very first U.S. refiner approved a Jones Act exemption throughout the 2021 Colonial Pipeline cyberattack. That waiver permitted foreign vessels to deliver refined items from the Gulf Coast to East Coast ports, precisely the situation now under factor to consider at a more comprehensive scale.

A blanket waiver would let Gulf Coast refiners bypass the domestic fleet, which has actually diminished to simply 92 certifying vessels, and agreement less expensive foreign tankers to move fuel to the Northeast.

JPMorgan approximated in 2022 that waiving the law might conserve East Coast drivers approximately 10 cents a gallon, as reported by Bloomberg.

For Valero, the waiver is a possible double driver. The Hormuz crisis is currently pumping up fracture spreads, and less expensive domestic shipping would minimize the expense of getting item to the highest-demand markets.

Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah) has actually presented legislation to rescind the Jones Act totally, including a legal track beyond the executive waiver.

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