Bitcoin (BTC) is due for a “parabolic” response as a traditional volatility sign plumbs brand-new lowest levels.
Bottom line:
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Bitcoin’s Bollinger BandWidth sign provides hope of a 2023-style BTC cost rise into year-end.
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BandWidth prevented a “red” occasion regardless of the current BTC cost drawdown.
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Traders require more evidence of a long-lasting market rebound.
Bitcoin Bollinger BandWidth preparations “parabolic upper hand”
In an X thread on Wednesday, macro strategist Gert van Lagen provided an essential signal from Bitcoin’s Bollinger BandWidth.
Bollinger BandWidth determines the portion distinction in between the upper and lower Bollinger bands, which themselves serve as a leading sign for BTC cost volatility.
On regular monthly timeframes, that distinction has actually never ever been smaller sized, per information from sources consisting of Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.
History reveals that BandWidth hardly ever drops listed below 100 on its scale, however each time it does, the BTC cost responds greatly.
” Historically, whenever this activates, Bitcoin follows with a direct parabolic upper hand,” Van Lagen commented.
” No red signal flashed in the previous months …”
An accompanying chart reveals previous circumstances of such a parabolic outcome. The previous “green” signal came at the start of November 2023, after which BTC/USD doubled in 4 months.
Continuing, Van Lagen referenced his future BTC cost expectations, which include a last push to brand-new highs before Bitcoin’s next bearishness takes place.
” This setup corresponds GOOGL prior to its last blow off wave, right before the 2008 monetary crisis. A waterfall of lower highs on the Bollinger Bandwidth, which gets broken to feed the subsequent bearish HTF volatility,” he composed.
Prematurely to commemorate?
Bitcoin traders stay unsure by market strength today amidst tentative indications of a healing.
Related: Bitcoin’s ‘more trustworthy’ RSI alternative hits bearishness bottom zone at $87K
$BTC 1W
Still simply a breakdown & & retest situation up until tested otherwise. Still going to strategy.
Volume is low, MACD/RSI required a reset on 1D and listed below, + we dropped 45k without any bounce.
I would not get loud on calling a bottom rather yet. https://t.co/VW0b0VF8IF pic.twitter.com/Rerl1KTvOW
— Roman (@Roman_Trading) December 2, 2025
On Wednesday, BTC/USD reached its greatest levels in over 2 weeks, considering $94,000 on the back of reports of a pro-crypto United States Federal Reserve chair.
” Rate did now make a greater high and greater low, so technically the marketplace structure is back to bullish on this timeframe,” trader Daan Crypto Trades acknowledged in an X post.
” However to correctly get this going I wish to see it sustain above this present cost location.”
As Cointelegraph reported, the present area cost zone holds substantial significance for the 2025 annual candle light, with BTC/USD beginning the year at $93,500.
” Bitcoin has a whole month to carry out 2% benefit to end the month above the ~$ 93500 4 Year Cycle level and close the year as a green candle light,” trader and expert Rekt Capital kept in mind Tuesday.
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