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You are at:Home » Intel’s earnings beat couldn’t offset a weaker-than-expected outlook. Here’s what analysts are saying
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Intel’s earnings beat couldn’t offset a weaker-than-expected outlook. Here’s what analysts are saying

News RoomNews RoomJan 23, 2026 11:19 am EST0 ViewsNo Comments6 Mins Read
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Experts throughout Wall Street were left dissatisfied after Intel shared softer-than-expected assistance for the March quarter, balancing out a fourth-quarter revenues and earnings beat. Intel reported adjusted revenues of 15 cents per share for the 4th quarter, beating LSEG agreement of 8 cents per share. The business’s $13.7 billion earnings likewise went beyond expectations of $13.4 billion. However its outlook left Wall Street dissatisfied. For the existing quarter, the business anticipates earnings in between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, and for adjusted revenues per share to recover cost. Both figures are listed below the LSEG agreement of $12.51 billion in sales and revenues of 5 cents per share. Shares dropped 13% in Friday’s premarket. INTC 5D mountain INTC 5D chart Experts blamed Intel’s supply restraints for affecting the leading line for the existing quarter. “Unconstrained supply would have yielded above seasonal sales as AI driven need to update CPUs in basic function servers appears strong,” Citi’s Atif Malik composed. However some embraced a more useful view. Jefferies’ Blayne Curtis thinks that “March will be the bottom for supply restraints,” while Roth’s Suji Desilva stated that the business is currently embracing the required actions to repair this restraint. “Management showed that information center earnings would have been substantially much better than seasonal if more capability were readily available,” Desilva composed. “We anticipate INTC to enhance item schedule by enhancing production yield on essential nodes in the coming quarter.” Evercore ISI expert Mark Lipacis likewise pointed strength in the business’s information center and expert system company. “INTC’s DCAI sector sped up greatly (+16% q/q) from previous quarter development showing greater than anticipated AI information center consumer need,” Roth’s Desilva composed. Extra drivers experts kept in mind consist of ramps on Intel’s 18A semiconductor production procedure, together with consumer orders for its 14A innovation that must begin rolling in in the 2nd half of 2026, marking favorable development for Intel’s Foundry company. Still, the majority of experts stay on the sidelines when it pertains to Intel. LSEG information reveals that 33 of 47 who cover the stock have a hold score on it. Simply 8 designated a buy or strong buy score, while the staying 6 rate it as underperform or offer. Here’s what experts at a few of Wall Street’s most significant companies needed to state on the report. Stifel: hold score, $42 cost target Stifel’s target, up from $35, indicates about 23% disadvantage from Intel’s Thursday close. We see 2H26-1H27 as a prospective driver window, in which INTC will host their very first Financier Day under LBT, and might represent an infection point for company long-lasting 14A volume dedications and sophisticated product packaging ramps. In the meantime, however, shares appear relatively valued to us. Jefferies: hold, $45 Jefferies’ projection provides disadvantage of 17%. “Assistance well listed below in spite of server strength with margin healing pressing out once again. We value the current enjoyment around chance for INTC however still do not see a clear course forward provided additional share loss, no AI method and uncertain fab/packaging chances.” Evercore ISI: in line, $45 Evercore ISI raised its cost target from $41.10. “There still stays lots of wood to slice in INTC’s multi-year shift. We see the risk/reward ratio as well balanced, with enhancing execution and geopolitical tailwinds balanced out by high appraisal and multiyear effort to win foundry clients and close the transistor space at 14A. AH trading levels are somewhat above our Bull-Case SoTP appraisal of $45.” Cantor Fitzgerald: neutral, $45 “The bright side– 1Q26 ought to mark the low for 2026. The problem– Intel will likely be constrained for a Q or 2, with most likely some share advantage accumulating to AMD … Our sense is that real basics integrated with genuine clearness on foundry clients are the next drivers, however more than likely in 2HCY26.” Citi: neutral, $48 Citi’s target, below $50, represents disadvantage of around 12%. “Yields on 18A are enhancing, and the business intends to reach market basic yields by 2H26 … Intel is actively engaged with clients on 14A. Clients are taking a look at the test chips now. Intel anticipates clients to confirm provider choices in 2H26/1H27. Intel anticipates to start danger production on 14A in late 2028, with high-volume production from late 2028 to 2029.” Mizuho: neutral, $48 The company raised its projection from $41. “Keeping Neutral, change quotes and PT to $48 from $41 as we see Server CPU much better however margin headwinds and Foundry consumer ramps just longer-term.” RBC Capital Markets: sector carry out, $48 “Intel’s 4Q outcomes were much better while its 1Q26 outlook was weaker. Management blamed supply restraints and sees above-seasonal development through the remainder of the year as supply enhances. Gross margin outlook likewise fell listed below our design due to early 18A ramps (suboptimal yields) and mix. Management sounded positive about Foundry development and commentary indicate a prospective 14A consumer statement in 2H26. Nevertheless, significant earnings contribution appears less most likely till late 2028.” Roth: neutral, $50 Roth’s target, raised from $40, requires 8% disadvantage moving forward. “INTC reported strong 4Q25 information center need however assisted for seasonally weaker 1Q26 earnings and gross margin contraction affected by making restraint restrictions. We anticipate CY26 development assistance from strong AI information center need for the business’s x86 CPUs and search for more recent customer processors and foundry/ product packaging consumer traction to drive intermediate-term development.” KeyBanc Capital Markets: obese, $65 Expert John Vinh’s projection, up from $60, is 20% above Intel’s Thursday closing cost. “INTC published strong 4Q25 outcomes and assisted 1Q26 listed below. Benefit was driven by strong server CPU need, as DCAI grew +15% q/q, while 1Q rev/GM were assisted lower due to peak restraints, as lower revs and the preliminary 18A ramp are dilutive to GMs. Nevertheless, capability is anticipated to increase with above seasonal development anticipated the remainder of the year. INTC did not verify AAPL as an IFS win however showed clients are anticipated to make foundry choices on 14A in 2H26. Regardless of blended outcomes, we stay OW and increase our PT to $65 provided expectations concerning AAPL as an 18A consumer & & prospective 14A win.”

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