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You are at:Home » ‘Not seeing the forest for the trees’: Analysts look past Azure miss as Microsoft slides post-earnings
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‘Not seeing the forest for the trees’: Analysts look past Azure miss as Microsoft slides post-earnings

News RoomNews RoomJan 29, 2026 12:56 pm EST0 ViewsNo Comments6 Mins Read
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Microsoft published a strong quarterly revenues and income beat, however slowing development in its Azure cloud computing service wasn’t enough to surpass financiers’ lofty expectations, weighing shares down 12% on Thursday. Nevertheless, Wall Street experts slammed the sell-off. Microsoft’s revenues was available in at an adjusted $4.14 per share, going beyond the $3.97 experts surveyed by LSEG had actually anticipated. The company published income of $81.27 billion, likewise greater than the $80.27 agreement quote. Microsoft’s current-quarter assistance likewise satisfied LSEG agreement expectations. However shares were dragged lower after income from Azure and other cloud services grew at 39%, lower than the 40% development from Microsoft’s financial very first quarter. Experts surveyed by StreetAccount and CBNC had actually respectively anticipated this development to come in at 39.4% and 38.9%. While experts throughout Wall Street acknowledged this miss out on in cloud development, they likewise said that market expectations appear too expensive. Morgan Stanley expert Keith Weiss stated that financiers were “not seeing the forest for the trees” which the stock’s “assessment appears to miss out on the larger image.” “The concern is that many financiers concentrated on simply one number, Azure development, to evaluate the health of the MSFT service, specifically around AI momentum,” composed Barclays expert Raimo Lenschow. Lenschow included that financiers will need to “reassess” how they examine Microsoft’s development story from here, because the business will most likely direct future excess capability into CoPilot, its expert system chatbot, and its own AI R & & D efforts.” Significantly, we ‘d highlight Azure is still growing well above the marketplace, assisted to sustain 37-38% development in F3Q and our company believe can likely continue near here for a number of more quarters off a greater base,” Deutsche Bank expert Brad Zelnick included. Citi expert Tyler Radke thinks that Azure’s development will likely speed up after a “self-inflicted” downturn, and likewise highlighted a velocity in CoPilot’s momentum as a brilliant area on the report. He kept in mind that CoPilot included 15 million paid users, while the business’s reservations momentum likewise continued. Bottom line, experts stayed extremely bullish on Microsoft, although many cut their cost targets on a little lower price quotes. Here’s how a few of Wall Street’s most significant stores responded to Microsoft’s newest report. Deutsche Bank: purchase ranking, $575 cost target The bank’s cost target, below $630, indicates about 19% upside from Microsoft’s Thursday close. “Microsoft reported another strong outcome for F2Q, however it eventually disappointed more lofty market expectations, in specific for Azure development. While many financiers continue to focus on this as the most essential KPI, mgmt. once again made it clear Azure is bearing the impact of existing supply restrictions as they focus on GPU allotment in assistance of AI use in first-party apps and R & & D to speed up item development in pursuit of greater margin, repeating software application chances up the stack.” Goldman Sachs: purchase, $600 Goldman Sachs’ projection, below $655, represents advantage of 25%. “Our company believe the stock response shows another successive quarter of higher-than-expected capex ($ 37.5 bn, 9% above the Street consisting of fin. leases) without a commensurate boost in Azure development rates. Nevertheless, our company believe Microsoft focusing on calculate capex for very first celebration applications (Copilot) and internal R & & D( e.g. Microsoft AI) over short-term Azure income will eventually drive more tactical AI placing throughout several layers of the innovation stack and much better returns over the medium term, and keep our Buy ranking on the stock.” Barclays: obese, $600 The bank reduced its projection from $610. “The MSFT story will see a minor rethink post Q2. Up until now, AI momentum plus additional capability drove greater Azure development and for this reason, financiers might get delighted. Nevertheless, MSFT is now utilizing brand-new capability for more of its first-party offerings like Copilot, which indicates upside will require to appear in a different way … It now appears like the business will not actually speed up Azure even more from here, due to the law of great deals and additional capability being utilized for its own, higher-margin, very first celebration offerings like Co-Pilot and its own AI R & & D efforts.” UBS: purchase, $600 “Microsoft reported strong total numbers (15% overall c/c revs development, 21% non-GAAP EPS development), with the stock’s fade in the after-market most likely a function of the absence of advantage in both Azure (+38%, a shade listed below the 39% development bogey) and the huge M365 apps section (+14%, in-line with the guide however listed below our 15% quote). Microsoft designated limited GPU capability far from Azure to 1P items, however the reality that BOTH Azure and the M365 sections fell a bit brief is the crucial unfavorable we’re hearing that is driving the modest after-market fade. That stated, we conclude that the capability outlook and pending stockpile conversion appearance so engaging that we stay Buy-rated.” Citi: purchase, $635 Citi’s target, reduced from $660, requires 32% upside moving forward. “We would anticipate the stock to trade lower as financiers absorb the unfavorable modification patterns however would be purchasers of the pullback. We anticipate Azure development to speed up off Q2 levels (especially as capability continues to get stood) and we see the modest assistance cut as one-time reset. We a little lower our Azure numbers however still forecast a 40% exit rate and with shares trading at ~ 24x our modified FY27 P/E.” RBC Capital Markets: outperform, $640 The bank’s projection indicates that shares might rally 33% from here. “Microsoft provided a strong quarter with income, EPS, and running margins going beyond expectations, however outcomes weren’t enough to clear raised expectations, leading shares down 6% AMC. Azure development of 39% YoY (38% CC) stayed consistent and in line with our sense of buy-side expectations, while running discipline and performance gains assisted balance out greater Al facilities financial investment. With Al money making widening and much of incremental Al capability currently contracted, we see continued upside in development and margins, and MSFT stays our leading big cap choice.” Bernstein: outperform, $641 Bernstein’s projection, below $645, is 34% above Microsoft’s Wednesday closing cost. “Microsoft provided strong outcomes and healthy guide, yet the stock was down ~ 6% aftermarket, as Azure development (38% CC) a little missed out on the buyside expectation. Management mentioned that Azure might have grown > > 40%, however they are constrained by capability and are focusing on first celebration apps and R & & D over near-term Azure development. We believe this is a difficult however essential choice for the business’s long-lasting worth production. Microsoft’s development engine remains in reality getting more powerful.” Morgan Stanley: obese, $650 Morgan Stanley’s target corresponds to 35% advantage. “A $240B+ income base growing 15% YoY, with broadening op margins driving 21% cc EPS development, while 39% YoY cRPO development recommends even much better development ahead. Yes, Azure missed out on Street expectations by 1% point, however at 21X CY27 EPS, the assessment appears to miss out on the larger image. Stay securely OW.”

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