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You are at:Home » Stifel downgrades Microsoft, says AI spending and Azure concerns could limit near-term upside
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Stifel downgrades Microsoft, says AI spending and Azure concerns could limit near-term upside

News RoomNews RoomFeb 5, 2026 12:54 pm EST0 ViewsNo Comments2 Mins Read
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Stifel thinks that heavy AI costs and increasing competitors might weigh on Microsoft’s development. The financial investment company reduced the “Spectacular 7” innovation titan to a hold ranking from buy. Expert Brad Reback likewise decreased his rate target to $392 from $540. Shares of Microsoft are flat over the previous 12 months however have actually slipped 14% this year. Reback’s modified projection indicates that the stock has a more 5% to fall. MSFT 1Y mountain MSFT 1Y chart Reback stated that his downgrade comes as Wall Street’s incomes and profits expectations appear too positive. “Provided the well-documented Azure supply concerns, combined with Google’s strong GCP Gemini results this night and growing Anthropic momentum, our company believe near-term Azur velocity is not likely,” he composed. “Net/net, while MSFT stays well placed over the long-lasting to browse the quickly [evolving] AI landscape over the coming years, the near-term potential customers appear a bit more cloudy as [Google] seems quickly getting AI share and MSFT’s OAI relationship is not almost as additive [as] it as soon as was.” Reback likewise anticipates Azure’s gross margin compression to speed up in the coming quarter, thanks to significant capital investment development and an increasing portion of invest fixated short-term calculate possessions. “[Beyond] the COGS headwinds, management has actually made it really clear over the last 2 quarters they [are] stepping up their AI R & & D financial investments which includes a high cost as it connects to employing maintaining individual along with supporting these efforts (great deals of GPU cycles taken in),” the expert included. “The [net] effect of this is that OPEX development is most likely to be much closer to profits development than we [have] seen over the last a number of years.” Reback sees no near-term drivers for the stock, and anticipates it to trade range-bound either till Azure posts a considerable velocity or till capital investment development slows listed below Azure development, he composed. Reback’s downgrade comes a week after Microsoft stock dipped 10% after it shared financial third-quarter operating margin assistance of 45.1%, listed below StreetAccount’s 45.5% agreement. Cloud development likewise moderated, with profits from Azure and other cloud services can be found in at 39% and listed below the 40% development from Microsoft’s financial very first quarter.

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